IC3 Publications from Climate Prediction group

Batté, L. and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Stochastic atmospheric perturbations in the EC-Earth3 global coupled model: impact of SPPT on seasonal forecast quality. Climate Dynamics, 45, 3419-3439, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2548-7.

Bellprat, O., F.C. Lott, C. Gulizia, H.R. Parker, L. Pampuch, I. Pinto, A. Ciavarella and P.A. Stott (2015). Unusual past dry and wet rainy seasons over Southern Africa and South America from a climate perspective. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 36-46, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.07.001.

Caron, L.-P., M. Boudreault and C.L. Bruyere (2015). Changes in large-scale controls of Atlantic tropical cyclone activity with the phases of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. Climate Dynamics, 44, 1801-1821, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2186-5.

Caron, L.-P., L. Hermanson and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Multi-annual forecasts of Atlantic U.S. tropical cyclone wind damage potential. Geophysical Research Letters, 42, 2417-2425, doi:10.1002/2015GL063303.

Caron, L.-P., M. Boudreault and S.J. Camargo (2015). On the variability and predictability of Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, 28, 9678-9696, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0377.1.

Davis, M., R. Lowe, S. Steffen, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and X. Rodó (2015). Barriers to using climate information: Challenges in communicating probabilistic forecasts to decision-makers. In Communicating Climate-Change and Natural Hazard Risk and Cultivating Resilience (J.L. Drake et al. eds.), Advances in Natural and Technological Hazards Research, 45, 95-113, doi:10.1007/978-3-319-20161-0_7.

García-Serrano, J., C. Frankignoul, G. Gastineau and A. de la Cámara (2015). On the predictability of the winter Euro-Atlantic climate: lagged influence of autumn Arctic sea ice. Journal of Climate, 28, 5195-5216, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00472.1.

García-Serrano, J., V. Guemas and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Added-value from initialization in predictions of Atlantic multi-decadal variability. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2539-2555, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2370-7.

Guemas, V., J. García-Serrano, A. Mariotti, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and L.-P. Caron (2015). Prospects for decadal climate prediction in the Mediterranean region. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, 580-597, doi:10.1002/qj.2379.

Jung, T., F.J. Doblas-Reyes, H. Goessling, V. Guemas, C. Bitz, C. Buontempo, R. Caballero, E. Jakobson, J. Jungclaus, M. Karcher, T. Koenigk, D. Matei, J. Overland, T. Spengler and S. Yang (2015). Polar-lower latitude linkages and their role in weather and climate prediction. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96, ES197-ES200, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00121.1

Massonnet, F. (2015). Communicating climate complexity. Commentary in Physics Today, 68, 8, doi:10.1063/PT.3.2894.

Massonnet, F., V. Guemas, N. Fuckar and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). The 2014 high record of Antarctic sea ice extent. In Explaining Extreme Events of 2014 from a Climate Perspective, Bulletin of American Meteorological Society. Bulletin of American Meteorological Society, 96, S163-S167, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00093.1.

Pepler, A.S., L.B. Díaz, C. Prodhomme, F.J. Doblas-Reyes and A. Kumar (2015). The ability of a multi-model seasonal forecasting ensemble to forecast the frequency of warm, cold and wet extremes. Weather and Climate Extremes, 9, 68-77, doi:10.1016/j.wace.2015.06.005.

Prodhomme, C., P. Terray, S. Masson, G. Boschat and T. Izumo (2015). Oceanic factors controlling the Indian summer monsoon onset in a coupled model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 977-1002, doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2200-y.

Stroeve, J., E. Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, V. Guemas, S. Howell, F. Massonnet and S. Tietsche (2015). Improving predictions of Arctic sea ice extent. EOS, 96, doi:10.1029/2015EO031431.

Weber, R.T.J., A. Carrassi and F.J. Doblas-Reyes (2015). Linking the anomaly initialization approach to the mapping paradigm: a proof-of-concept study. Monthly Weather Review, 143, 4695-4713, doi:10.1175/MWR-D-14-00398.1.