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2022

Improving Arctic Weather and Seasonal Climate Prediction: Recommendations for Future Forecast Systems Evolution from the European Project APPLICATEAbstract

Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

P. Ortega, E. W. Blockley, M. Køltzow, F. Massonnet, I. Sandu, G. Svensson, J. C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, L. Batté, E. Bazile, M. Chevallier, R. Cruz-García, J. J. Day, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, M. Gupta, K. Hartung, E. Hawkins, C. Hinrichs, L. Magnusson, E. Moreno-Chamarro, S. Pérez-Montero, L. Ponsoni, T. Semmler, D. Smith, J. Sterlin, M. Tjernström, I. Välisuo, and T. Jung
Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstructionAbstract

Nature Communications

S. L. L. Michel, D. Swingedouw, P. Ortega, G. Gastineau, J. Mignot, G. McCarthy, and M. Khodri
Constraining low-frequency variability in climate projections to predict climate on decadal to multi-decadal timescales – a poor man's initialized prediction system

Earth System Dynamics

R. Mahmood, M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, C. Delgado-Torres, M. Samsó, and P-A. Bretonnière
The EC-Earth3 Earth system model for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6

Geoscientific Model Development

R. Döscher, M. Acosta, A. Alessandri, P. Anthoni, T. Arsouze, T. Bergman, R. Bernardello, S. Boussetta, L-P. Caron, G. Carver, M. Castrillo, F. Catalano, I. Cvijanovic, P. Davini, E. Dekker, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, D. Docquier, P. Echevarría, U. Fladrich, R. Fuentes-Franco, M. Gröger, J. v. Hardenberg, J. Hieronymus, P. M. Karami, J-P. Keskinen, T. Koenigk, R. Makkonen, F. Massonnet, M. Ménégoz, P. A. Miller, E. Moreno-Chamarro, L. Nieradzik, T. van Noije, P. Nolan, D. O'Donnell, P. Ollinaho, G. van den Oord, P. Ortega, O. Tintó Prims, A. Ramos, T. Reerink, C. Rousset, Y. Ruprich-Robert, P. Le Sager, T. Schmith, R. Schrödner, F. Serva, V. Sicardi, M. Sloth Madsen, B. Smith, T. Tian, E. Tourigny, P. Uotila, M. Vancoppenolle, S. Wang, D. Wårlind, U. Willén, K. Wyser, S. Yang, X. Yepes-Arbós, and Q. Zhang
Trends, variability and predictive skill of the ocean heat content in North Atlantic: an analysis with the EC-Earth3 modelAbstract

Climate Dynamics

T. Carmo-Costa, R. Bilbao, P. Ortega, A. Teles-Machado, and E. Dutra
Atlantic circulation change still uncertain

Nature Geoscience

H. K. Kilbourne, A. D. Wanamaker, P. Moffa-Sanchez, D. J. Reynolds, D. E. Amrhein, P. G. Butler, G. Gebbie, M. Goes, M. F. Jansen, C. M. Little, M. Mette, E. Moreno-Chamarro, P. Ortega, B. L. Otto-Bliesner, T. Rossby, J. Scourse, and N. M. Whitney

2021

A Novel Initialization Technique for Decadal Climate PredictionsImage_1.pdf

Frontiers in Climate

D. Volpi, V. L. Meccia, V. Guemas, P. Ortega, R. Bilbao, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Amaral, P. Echevarría, R. Mahmood, and S. Corti
The potential of numerical prediction systems to support the design of Arctic observing systems: Insights from the

Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society

I. Sandu, F. Massonnet, G. van Achter, J. C. Acosta Navarro, G. Arduini, P. Bauer, E. Blockley, N. Bormann, M. Chevallier, J. Day, M. Dahoui, T. Fichefet, D. Flocco, T. Jung, E. Hawkins, S. Laroche, H. Lawrence, J. Kristianssen, E. Moreno‐Chamarro, P. Ortega, E. Poan, L. Ponsoni, and R. Randriamampianina
Constraining decadal variability yields skillful projections of near‐term climate change

Geophysical Research Letters

R. Mahmood, M. G. Donat, P. Ortega, F. J. Doblas‐Reyes, and Y. Ruprich‐Robert
Deep mixed ocean volume in the Labrador Sea in HighResMIP modelsAbstract

Climate Dynamics

T. Koenigk, R. Fuentes-Franco, V. L. Meccia, O. Gutjahr, L. C. Jackson, A. L. New, P. Ortega, C. D. Roberts, M. J. Roberts, T. Arsouze, D. Iovino, M-P. Moine, and D. V. Sein

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