Markus Donat

The climate system is changing rapidly and some regions have seen increases in extremes beyond what is expected from climate model simulations. To support targeted climate adaptation strategies, EXPECT will enable trustworthy assessments and predictions of regional climate change including extremes by developing a prototype operational capability for integrated attribution...

Precipitation directly affects societies and ecosystems, with extremely wet and dry conditions posing potential risks. Our ability to predict variations in precipitation on seasonal, inter-annual and decadal time scales is limited, and state-of-the-art prediction systems exhibit low skill in predicting precipitation despite substantial developments and improvements of the...

The Copernicus Climate Change Service Evolution (CERISE) project aims to enhance the quality of the C3S reanalysis and seasonal forecast portfolio with a focus on land-atmosphere coupling. It will support the evolution of C3S by improving the C3S climate reanalysis and seasonal prediction systems and products towards enhanced integrity and coherence of the C3S Earth system...

The Climate Variability and Change Group performs fundamental research to further our